Elon Musk's 'Text and Drive' FSD Claim: What You Need to Know
- EVHQ
- 4 days ago
- 18 min read
So, Elon Musk is talking about letting people text and drive with Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) system. It sounds pretty wild, right? He mentioned it at a recent shareholder meeting, saying they're getting close to being "almost comfortable" with it. This isn't some far-off idea; he's talking about it happening in just a month or two. But what does this actually mean for drivers and safety? Let's break down this Elon Musk 'text and drive' FSD claim.
Key Takeaways
Elon Musk suggested Tesla is nearing a point where drivers can "text and drive" using FSD, aiming for this within "a month or two" based on safety data.
Tesla's FSD system is moving towards reduced driver supervision, with version 14 showing improvements that support this shift.
The company is building a case with new safety statistics, showing significantly fewer crashes and injuries with FSD enabled compared to previous metrics.
While FSD is currently Level 2 autonomy, the goal is Level 4, where the driver can be disengaged, though regulatory hurdles with NHTSA are expected.
Tesla's extensive real-world data collection is seen as a major advantage in refining FSD and potentially achieving unsupervised driving capabilities.
Elon Musk's "Text and Drive" FSD Claim Explained
So, Elon Musk dropped a pretty interesting comment recently, suggesting that Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) system is getting close to a point where drivers might be able to, well, text and drive. He mentioned during a shareholder meeting that the company is "almost comfortable" with this idea, which is a big shift from the current strict supervision requirements. This isn't about FSD being fully autonomous yet, but rather a step towards less driver attention being needed.
The Core of the "Text and Drive" Announcement
Musk's statement basically boils down to this: Tesla believes its FSD system, particularly with recent updates like V14, has improved enough that it can handle more driving tasks with less direct oversight. The idea is that instead of constantly needing to keep your hands on the wheel and eyes on the road, there will be moments where sending a quick text message is deemed acceptable by the system. This is a significant change, moving from a system that demands constant vigilance to one that allows for brief periods of distraction. It's a bold claim, and it signals a new phase in how Tesla envisions its FSD technology being used by everyday drivers.
Understanding Tesla's Stance on Driver Supervision
Currently, Tesla's FSD operates at what's considered Level 2 autonomy. This means the car can handle some driving tasks, but the driver must remain fully engaged and ready to take over at any moment. The system actively monitors the driver to ensure they're paying attention. Musk's comments suggest a move towards a system that requires less of this constant, active supervision. It's not about removing supervision entirely, but about redefining what
Safety Statistics Fueling the FSD Evolution
Tesla's Data-Driven Approach to Autonomy
Tesla is really leaning into its data to make a case for Full Self-Driving (FSD). They've been putting out these safety reports, and the latest ones are pretty interesting. It's like they're building a whole argument, using numbers, to show that FSD is getting safer and safer. They're not just talking about it; they're showing miles driven before something happens, which is a big deal.
The company seems to be collecting specific data points for FSD, likely to present a strong case to regulators down the line. It's not just about making the tech better; it's about proving it's ready for more freedom.
They're now focusing specifically on FSD data, and it looks like they're seeing even better results with FSD engaged compared to just Autopilot. At a recent meeting, they mentioned that using FSD (and not just Autopilot) led to a big drop in crashes – like 85% fewer. That's a huge number, and they're linking it to preventing a lot of injuries and even fatalities.
Comparing FSD Safety to Autopilot
So, how does FSD stack up against Autopilot? Well, Tesla's latest reports suggest FSD is pulling ahead. They're now specifically highlighting FSD usage, separate from Autopilot, and the numbers look good. It seems like when FSD is actively engaged, the system is performing better than when just using Autopilot features.
Here's a look at some of the numbers they've shared:
Scenario | Miles Before Minor Collision | Miles Before Major Collision |
|---|---|---|
Tesla with supervised FSD | 986,000 | 2.9 million |
Tesla manually driven (active safety) | 579,000 | 1.7 million |
Tesla manually driven (no safety) | 270,000 | 776,000 |
U.S. Average | 178,000 | 505,000 |
This data suggests that FSD, even with a driver supervising, is performing significantly better than the average human driver, and even better than manual driving with Tesla's own safety features turned on. It's a clear signal that they believe FSD is the safer option.
The Significance of Reduced Crash and Injury Rates
These numbers aren't just abstract figures; they represent real-world safety improvements. Tesla is making a strong push to show that FSD leads to fewer accidents and, consequently, fewer injuries. They've even thrown out a statistic about preventing 35,000 fewer injuries, which is pretty impactful.
Fewer Crashes: The data points to a substantial reduction in collisions when FSD is active. This is the core of their argument for increased autonomy.
Reduced Injuries: Fewer crashes naturally mean fewer people getting hurt. Tesla is trying to quantify this benefit.
Potential for Fewer Fatalities: While harder to measure directly in short-term reports, the implication of fewer crashes and injuries is a long-term reduction in fatalities.
This focus on reduced crash and injury rates is key to Tesla's strategy. It's the foundation for their claims that FSD is not only capable but also a safer way to travel, paving the way for less driver supervision in the future.
Timeline for Reduced Driver Attention
Elon Musk has been pretty clear about where Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) is headed, and it involves drivers needing to pay less attention. It's not a distant dream; he's talking about changes happening relatively soon. Based on what's been shared, the company is looking at loosening supervision requirements in the coming months.
Elon Musk's Projected Rollout Window
Musk has indicated that Tesla is getting close to a point where drivers might be "almost comfortable" allowing the car to handle more while they do other things, like sending a text. This isn't about completely taking your eyes off the road, but rather about allowing brief moments of inattention. The goal is to transition from the current Level 2 autonomy, which demands constant driver supervision, towards something more advanced. He's suggested that this shift could happen within "the next month or two." This timeline is tied to the internal data Tesla is seeing from its FSD software, particularly with recent updates like FSD V14. The company seems to believe this data already shows statistically better performance than previous versions, paving the way for reduced driver oversight. This is a key part of the FSD V14 roadmap.
Interpreting the "Month or Two" Estimate
When Elon Musk throws out a timeframe like "a month or two," it's worth understanding what that really means in the context of software development and regulatory approval. It suggests that Tesla's internal testing and data analysis are showing positive results, making them feel confident about taking the next step. This doesn't mean FSD will be fully autonomous overnight, but it signals a move towards allowing drivers to take their eyes off the road for short periods. It's a gradual process, and this estimate points to the next phase of that evolution. It's important to remember that these are projections, and actual rollout can depend on various factors, including further testing and regulatory feedback.
The Role of FSD Version Updates
Tesla's approach to rolling out new features, especially significant ones like reduced driver attention, is typically done through software updates. We've seen a steady stream of FSD versions, with V14.1.x releases already happening and V14.2 and V14.3 on the horizon. Each update is expected to bring improvements, and the ability for drivers to text while FSD is engaged is likely to be introduced incrementally. Musk has specifically mentioned V14.3 as a potential milestone where drivers might feel comfortable enough to relax significantly. This phased rollout allows Tesla to gather more data and refine the system's performance with each iteration, moving closer to the ambitious timelines for FSD.
Here's a look at the potential progression:
FSD V14.1.x: Current iterations, focusing on bug fixes and incremental improvements.
FSD V14.2: Expected to bring further enhancements, potentially closer to reduced supervision.
FSD V14.3: Targeted as a significant step, possibly enabling more relaxed driver attention.
The company is building a statistical case, using its own data, to argue that allowing reduced driver supervision, even for tasks like texting, could actually be safer than the current system where drivers might disengage FSD to perform these actions. This data-driven approach is central to their strategy for gaining regulatory acceptance for more autonomous driving capabilities.
The Technical Shift Towards Less Supervision
How FSD V14 Addresses Driver Attention
Tesla's latest software updates, particularly FSD V14, are designed with a gradual reduction in driver oversight in mind. The system is becoming more adept at handling complex driving scenarios, leading to a point where the company feels more confident about allowing drivers to take their attention off the road for brief periods. This isn't about full autonomy yet, but rather about fine-tuning the system's capabilities to match evolving safety metrics. The goal is to make the system more robust, so it can manage driving tasks with less constant human input.
The Concept of Vehicle Confidence Levels
Think of FSD V14 as having different
Regulatory Hurdles and NHTSA Involvement
Anticipating Regulatory Scrutiny
Bringing texting and driving under Full Self-Driving (FSD) to the mainstream won’t be a quick win for Tesla. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) and similar agencies worldwide are watching every step. The fact is, allowing even controlled inattention in a car challenges traditions around road safety, so it’s bound to get picked apart.
Here’s what will face extra scrutiny:
Tesla’s real-world safety data vs. traditional human driving
The specifics of what counts as ‘safe inattention’
How Tesla prevents abuse of relaxed supervision
If Tesla wants regulators on board, it can’t just talk a big game—it will have to show undeniable stats that FSD really does improve road safety, even when drivers aren’t always glued to the road.
Tesla’s Strategy for Gaining Approval
Tesla is not just winging it on this front. Their plan boils down to these steps:
Collect and share data directly comparing FSD outcomes (like accident rates) to driving with human supervision.
Develop and show off in-car monitoring features designed to alert users when their attention is needed.
Engage regularly with regulators, keeping them updated on both good news and problems.
Below is a table showing how Tesla could argue its case:
Aspect | Old Approach (No FSD) | New Approach (FSD Looser Attention) | Improvement Claimed |
|---|---|---|---|
Crash Rate | Industry average | 85% lower (Tesla’s claim) | Fewer crashes |
Texting Response | Full disengagement by driver | Brief periods allowed | Reduced risk ‘gap’ |
Driver Monitoring | N/A or minimal | Alerts when needed | Timely corrections |
The Legal Implications of "Text and Drive"
Letting drivers text while using FSD will force some tough conversations:
How much distraction is reasonable?
Who’s at fault if something does go wrong—a driver enjoying hands-off or Tesla’s AI?
Will state and federal laws adapt, or clash with Tesla’s rollout?
States may have different takes, and Tesla will need to navigate a patchwork of laws. This means national approval might lag behind technology.
It’s a game of patience and evidence for Tesla. Legal teams on both sides are preparing for what happens the first time a crash occurs when a driver is officially allowed to text—no one wants to be the guinea pig, but someone has to go first.
Analyzing Tesla's FSD Safety Data
So, let's talk about the numbers Tesla is putting out regarding their Full Self-Driving (FSD) system. It's a big part of their argument for why drivers might soon need to pay less attention. They've been releasing safety reports, and these are the figures that Elon Musk and the company are pointing to.
Miles Driven Before Collisions
Tesla breaks down its data into different scenarios. When you look at supervised FSD on non-highway roads, they report a collision roughly every 986,000 miles. That sounds pretty good, right? For comparison, manually driven Teslas with active safety features engaged have a reported collision about every 579,000 miles. Even Teslas driven without any safety features are in accidents about every 270,000 miles. The U.S. average for all vehicles is around 178,000 miles before a collision.
Vehicle Type | Miles Before Minor Collision | Miles Before Major Collision |
|---|---|---|
Tesla with supervised FSD | 986,000 | 2.9 million |
Tesla manually driven with active safety | 579,000 | 1.7 million |
Tesla driven manually, no safety features | 270,000 | 776,000 |
U.S. average | 178,000 | 505,000 |
Interpreting Collision Reporting Nuances
It's important to understand what these numbers actually mean, though. Tesla's reports state they "do not attribute fault in our collision reporting." This means a fender bender where FSD was engaged, but another driver was clearly at fault, still counts towards that mileage figure. Also, the data doesn't include instances where a human driver or safety driver had to take over to prevent an accident. This is a pretty big detail when you're trying to gauge the system's true performance. They are building a statistical argument that FSD is safer than manual driving, but the specifics of how they count incidents matter.
The "Law of Small Numbers" Consideration
When you're dealing with very large numbers of miles driven, a few incidents can really skew the averages. This is sometimes called the "law of small numbers," though in this case, it's more about the impact of individual events on a large dataset. For example, if Tesla's FSD data had just one fewer collision, the average miles before a minor collision would jump significantly. Conversely, adding just one more collision would drastically lower that average. It's a reminder that while the overall trend might look good, the specific numbers can be sensitive to small changes, especially as the system is still being refined and rolled out.
The company is gathering data to make a case for reduced driver supervision. This data is intended to support future regulatory discussions and potentially allow for more relaxed driver attention requirements when FSD is active.
Comparing Tesla's Safety Metrics to Competitors
Waymo's Incident Rates
When we look at how Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) stacks up against other companies in the autonomous driving space, Waymo often comes up. Waymo, owned by Google's parent company Alphabet, has been testing its driverless vehicles for a long time. Their data suggests they have about 2.1 incidents for every million miles driven. If you figure an average trip is around 6.7 miles, that means Waymo sees an incident roughly every 71,400 miles. This is a bit better than what Tesla has reported for its robotaxi service so far.
Tesla's Robotaxi Performance to Date
Tesla's own reports show a different picture for their robotaxi service. As of the end of September 2025, they reported seven collisions over more than 250,000 miles. This works out to an incident about every 35,700 miles. It's not as good as Waymo's numbers, but it's important to remember a few things. First, Tesla's data might not include times when a safety driver had to step in to prevent a crash. Second, this is still a relatively small amount of data, and things can change as they gather more miles.
Leveraging Mass Data for Improvement
One big advantage Tesla has is the sheer amount of data it collects from its FSD system across millions of vehicles. While FSD data isn't exactly the same as robotaxi data, and supervised driving isn't the same as unsupervised, this massive dataset gives Tesla a huge opportunity. They can use all that real-world driving information to make their robotaxi FSD even better. It's like having a giant testing ground that Waymo just can't match.
It's still early days for Tesla's robotaxi service, and like Waymo, their safety record is expected to improve as they collect more data and refine the system. The sheer volume of data Tesla gathers from its FSD system globally is a significant asset that could accelerate this improvement.
Here's a quick look at some reported numbers:
Tesla (Supervised FSD): Around 986,000 miles before a minor collision.
Waymo: Approximately 71,400 miles before an incident (based on their reported rate and average trip length).
Tesla (Robotaxi Service): Roughly 35,700 miles before a reported collision (based on Q3 2025 data).
It's also worth noting the "law of small numbers." If you take just one collision out of Tesla's robotaxi data, the average miles per incident jumps significantly. This highlights how a few events can really skew the averages when the total mileage isn't astronomically high yet.
The Future of Unsupervised Driving
So, what's next for Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD)? It seems the company is inching closer to a future where drivers might not need to keep their eyes glued to the road quite as much. Elon Musk has talked about this a lot, suggesting that in some situations, it might actually be safer to let FSD handle things, even if you want to send a quick text. This isn't about completely checking out, but about allowing for brief moments of reduced attention.
Tesla's Path to Genuine Autonomy
The big picture here is moving towards what's often called Level 4 autonomy, where the car can handle most driving tasks without human intervention. Tesla is taking a step-by-step approach. They're looking at their safety data, and if it shows that FSD is performing well, they plan to gradually loosen the reins on driver supervision. This means you might see periods where the car is more confident, and during those times, you could potentially take your eyes off the road for a bit longer.
Gradual Reduction in Supervision: Tesla isn't going from 100% supervision to zero overnight. Expect incremental changes.
Vehicle Confidence Levels: The system will likely indicate how confident it is in its driving decisions, guiding when reduced attention is permissible.
Data-Driven Decisions: All these changes are backed by Tesla's extensive driving data, aiming to prove FSD's safety.
The Role of Cybercab in Autonomy
Tesla's Cybercab, the robotaxi project, is a big part of this autonomous future. These vehicles are being designed from the ground up with autonomy in mind, meaning they won't even have traditional controls like steering wheels or pedals. The idea is that these robotaxis will operate entirely without a human driver, showcasing the ultimate goal of driverless operation.
The development of autonomous systems like Tesla's FSD is heavily reliant on the continuous improvement of artificial intelligence. AI algorithms are the core of how these vehicles perceive their environment, make split-second decisions, and navigate complex traffic scenarios, pushing the boundaries of what's possible in vehicle automation.
Elon Musk's Ambitious Vision for FSD
Elon Musk has a pretty bold vision for FSD. He's talked about versions of FSD that could allow drivers to
Potential Benefits and User Behavior
So, Elon Musk is saying Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) is getting to a point where you might be able to send a text message while it's driving. This is a pretty big deal, and it makes you wonder what the upside could be, and how people will actually use it.
Safer to Text with FSD Enabled?
Musk's argument is that if the car is handling the driving, it's actually safer to let the system manage the task while you quickly check your phone. The idea is that the car's systems are more reliable than a distracted human driver, even if that human is only briefly looking away. Tesla's been collecting a lot of data, and they're claiming that using FSD, even with some reduced attention, leads to fewer crashes. They've put out numbers suggesting that FSD use results in significantly fewer accidents compared to driving without it, and even compared to just using Autopilot. It's a bold claim, and they're building a case with statistics to back it up.
Addressing User Tendencies with FSD
Let's be real, people are going to try and do other things when the car is driving. Tesla knows this. They've observed drivers disengaging FSD to send a text, then re-engaging it. Musk's point is that if the system is confident enough, it might be better to allow that brief distraction rather than have the driver take over completely and potentially make a mistake. It's about acknowledging how people actually behave with these systems and trying to make it safer within those real-world habits. This is part of the reason why new releases are focusing on adaptive behavior.
The Evolution of Driver Interaction with FSD
This shift towards less driver attention isn't happening all at once. It's a gradual process. Think of it like this:
Increased Vehicle Confidence: As FSD gets better, the car will be more certain about its surroundings and its driving decisions. This confidence level is key.
Periods of Reduced Supervision: When the car is highly confident, Tesla might allow for longer stretches where you don't need to keep your eyes glued to the road. This could mean sending a quick text or adjusting the music without immediate penalty.
Gradual Autonomy: This is how Tesla plans to move towards true unsupervised driving, step by step. It's not about flipping a switch to full autonomy overnight, but about building trust and capability over time. This is a significant step towards genuine autonomy.
The core idea is to make the driving experience safer and more convenient by aligning the system's capabilities with how people naturally want to use their vehicles. It's a balancing act between technological advancement and human behavior, with safety data as the guiding principle.
This approach means that FSD will likely have different modes or confidence levels. You might have times when the car is super cautious and requires full attention, and other times when it's more relaxed, allowing for brief moments of inattention. It's all about managing risk and making the technology more practical for everyday use. The goal is to eventually reach a point where the car can handle most driving situations without needing constant human oversight, but they're taking a measured approach to get there.
Understanding FSD's Current Capabilities
Level 2 Autonomy Explained
Right now, Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) system operates at what's known as Level 2 autonomy. This means the car can handle some driving tasks, like steering and accelerating or braking, but it absolutely requires the driver to stay alert and ready to take over at any moment. Think of it as a very advanced cruise control that also helps with steering. You're still fully in charge, and your hands need to be on the wheel, or at least very close to it. The system is designed to assist, not to replace the driver's attention.
The Promise of Level 4 Capability
Elon Musk has talked about moving towards Level 4 autonomy. This is a big jump. At Level 4, the car can handle all driving tasks within a specific operational design domain (like certain geographic areas or weather conditions) without any need for driver intervention. If the system encounters a situation it can't handle, it's supposed to safely pull over. This is where the idea of being able to "text and drive" starts to become a real possibility, as the car would be responsible for the driving, not you. It's a future where the car truly drives itself under defined circumstances.
Current Driver Monitoring Requirements
Even with FSD engaged, Tesla's current system has robust driver monitoring. It uses cameras and sensors to make sure you're paying attention to the road. If the system detects you're not looking forward or keeping your hands on the wheel for too long, it will issue warnings, and eventually, disengage FSD if you don't respond. This is a safety feature designed to prevent misuse and ensure drivers remain engaged. However, Tesla is exploring ways to adjust these requirements, potentially allowing for brief periods of reduced attention, like sending a quick text, if the system is highly confident in its driving capabilities. This is part of the evolution towards less driver supervision.
The transition from requiring constant driver attention to allowing brief moments of inattention is a gradual one. Tesla is building a case, using its extensive data, to show that in certain situations, FSD can manage the driving task safely enough for the driver to momentarily disengage. This isn't about full autonomy yet, but about refining the system's confidence and the driver's interaction with it.
So, What's the Takeaway?
Look, Elon Musk's claims about letting us text and drive with FSD are definitely attention-grabbing. Tesla's pushing forward, saying their data shows FSD is getting safer, so much so they think drivers might not need to pay as much attention soon. They're talking about letting people send texts while the car drives itself in just a month or two, based on their latest stats. It’s a big step, and while they say it’s backed by numbers showing fewer crashes, there are still questions about how this will work with regulators and what exactly 'less attention' means. We've seen ambitious timelines from Tesla before, so it's worth keeping an eye on the actual rollout and how it plays out on the road. For now, it’s a fascinating development in the world of self-driving tech, but maybe don't ditch your phone's emergency contact list just yet.
Frequently Asked Questions
What did Elon Musk say about texting and driving with Tesla's FSD?
Elon Musk mentioned that Tesla is getting close to a point where they feel "almost comfortable" letting people text and drive while using their Full Self-Driving (FSD) system. He suggested this could happen in the next month or two, based on their safety data.
Does this mean I can text and drive right now with FSD?
Not yet. While Tesla is working towards allowing reduced driver attention, it's still in development. The current system still requires you to pay attention to the road, even when FSD is active. They are taking small steps, and this is the next planned step.
How is Tesla deciding when it's okay to text and drive?
Tesla is looking closely at its safety numbers. They believe that with certain updates to FSD, it might actually be safer for the car to drive and allow the driver to send a quick text, instead of the driver having to take over and potentially get distracted.
What are the new safety statistics Tesla is talking about?
Tesla has shared data suggesting that when FSD is used (not just Autopilot), there are significantly fewer crashes and injuries compared to driving without it. They claim FSD use has led to 85% fewer crashes and fewer injuries overall.
When will this 'text and drive' feature actually be available?
Elon Musk estimated this change could happen within "the next month or two." This timeline is based on the positive safety data they are seeing with recent FSD updates, like version 14.
What is 'Level 2' and 'Level 4' autonomy?
Level 2 autonomy means the car can control steering and speed, but the driver must constantly watch the road and be ready to take over. Level 4 is a much more advanced level where the car can handle all driving tasks in certain conditions without needing the driver to pay attention.
Will regulators approve Tesla's plan to allow texting and driving?
This is a big question. Tesla is gathering safety data to convince regulators like the NHTSA. Allowing drivers to text while the car drives will likely face a lot of scrutiny, and Tesla will need strong evidence to get approval.
What's the difference between FSD data and Waymo's safety data?
Tesla uses data from millions of miles driven by its customers with FSD. Waymo, another self-driving company, has its own safety numbers from its robotaxi service. Comparing these numbers is complex, but Tesla has a much larger amount of data from everyday drivers.

Comments